Hillary Clinton emphasized her opposition to a proposed free trade agreement with Colombia, two days…

Obama slipping in the polls in Pennsylvania

I am not certain going from a dead tie to a 20 point difference could be called a “slip”

More of a catastrophic plummet

(This is deliberately lowballed; the polls average seven, but I’m guessing Pennsylvania has enough racists for the polls to fib a bit.)

How condescending of you. You must be some kind of big city elitist.

I’ll say 9, on the grounds that I think people really are bitter about their jobs going overseas and aren’t nearly as put out by Obama’s comments as the CNN commentators are.

But then, I’m a condescending elitist too.

Alon, if anything, this year, there has been a reverse Bradley effect, as African-Americans poll for Obama 75-25 (for example), but then vote for him > 90%.

It’s the latest ARG poll They had the PA race even on April 5. But the April11-13 poll has Hillary opening a 20 point lead.

It’s the latest ARG poll They had the PA race even on April 5. But the April11-13 poll has Hillary opening a 20 point lead.

Which would seem to indicate that the latest isn’t just an outlier among other polls, but among ARG polls themselves.

7 point Hillary win is my guess, but it’s purely a guess.

Also, being a guy who owns guns, goes to church and lives in rural NH (recently moved from a small town in PA) I’m surprised to know that I’m so bitter and curious as to how it makes me racist? Hell, I felt pretty good when I woke up this morning I didn’t even know I was so angry or that I hated minorities or was clinging to my faith because of my frustration. Perhaps the truth of the matter is Obama was speaking to a leftwing elitist crowd (hello Frisco!) and had tailored his remarks to please that particular demographic. After all politicians have many faces and wear the one that suits the moment. It’s not like Obama claimed he was being shot at or something really ridiculous. Even in the mist of my resentment I give Barrack a pass for committing a garden variety political misstep.

I still support Clinton on policy, but damn it, can this damned primary please end already?

Oh, just a little longer Alon. I’m enjoying the show. My personel dream is for an extremely messy fight where in the end H-beast looses (I want to see the surrender speech so badly. Whose fault will it be when she looses to a true dye in the wool Liberal? Perhaps another vast rightwing conspiracy?). With final result being a fractured Democratic party that snatches defeat from the jaws of victory. Hey, a guy can dream if he wants to.

And again, that’s just one form of racism. In New York, I don’t think there was a Bradley effect with Dinkins. Instead, people just bash every mayor who listens to minorities occasionally, and shrug it off when NYPD shoots unarmed civilians. The local motto is “You guys are all racists. We’re not; our minorities really are lazy criminals.”

Going back to Obama, so far I don’t see any blowback. In Gallup’s most recent tracking poll, which includes results taken entirely after that comment, his performance against both Clinton and McCain has changed by a statistically insignificant amount. Rasmussen’s tracking poll shows a small decline against Clinton, and no significant change against McCain.

Further up this thread, you may notice that someone called it at 9%. Someone really smart. Why.. it was me!

Do I get a prize?