Comments on: Last Minute Election Predictions

By: CDR Salamander

CDR Salamander — Mon, 06 Nov 2006 22:14:14 +0000

We are rather close. here are mine.
_____

Senate: 50 (R), 50 (D)

House: 212 (R), 223 (D)

That is what I came up with this weekend. Now, most of you have heard of the “Republican surge” over the last few days. I’m not sold on it. However, it has happened in the past, and the Democrats have not provided anything positive - so if the surge is there - here is what you will see.

Senate: 51 (R), 49 (D)

House: 216 (R), 219 (D)

Call it a ripple. I may be giving the Rep. too much credit in the House on both accounts - but there it is.

By: Bill from INDC

Bill from INDC — Mon, 06 Nov 2006 22:23:47 +0000

Reese and Ryan will reconcile.

By: The Sanity Inspector

The Sanity Inspector — Mon, 06 Nov 2006 22:38:11 +0000

Kinda strange: Fox News’ own polling shows the Dems solidly ahead. The New Republic’s blog is aghast because the Dems are sliding.

I’m just glad I’ll be taking my kid to soccer practice tomorrow evening, and won’t see any TV coverage until the actual returns start coming in. I wince to think of all the exit poll pr0n that’s gonna be unleashed tomorrow.

By: Grim

Grim — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 01:43:54 +0000

I’ll go with Electionprojection.com’s predictions, which have been pretty solid in the past. GOP Senate, narrow Dem majority in the House. F.B. at Southern Appeal thinks that there may be some Dem->Rep. defections in the House if the Democrats actually win, but I don’t know what he’s basing that on.

By: Grim

Grim — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 01:51:29 +0000

Looks like EP.com has revised to a 49-49 Senate, which would mean weak Dem control, based on Lieberman’s willingness to caucus with them. Won’t that be fun?

By: BloodSpite

BloodSpite — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 17:09:09 +0000

I tend to side with Salamander here.

I don’t think the Democrats have in actuality a firm hope of winning Missouri

Let me correct myself slightly, in my District I can’t see McCaskill beating out Jim Talent, and I can’t see Roy Blunt losing period.

By: rbj

rbj — Tue, 07 Nov 2006 18:54:16 +0000

Prediction:
There will be much wailing and gnashing of teeth and rending of clothing. Each side will cry “foul” and “cheater”.

By: BloodSpite

BloodSpite — Wed, 08 Nov 2006 14:41:26 +0000

Well I was partly right
Roy Blunt won with a huge majority (over 60%)
But McCaskill squeezed a win with barely more than a 2% lead.

Should ironic here in Missouri. A Democratic Senator and a Republican state (Dems only gained like 2 district’s here.)

Gridlock anyone?