Last Minute Election Predictions

House - Dems gain 25 seats.

Senate - Dems gains 5 seats (gaining in RI, PA, MT, OH; winning either MO or VA; holding NJ and MD). Corker wins TN.

All the latest polls at RCP.

What’s your forecast?

Comments

  1. CDR Salamander wrote:

    We are rather close. here are mine.
    _____

    Senate: 50 (R), 50 (D)

    House: 212 (R), 223 (D)

    That is what I came up with this weekend. Now, most of you have heard of the “Republican surge” over the last few days. I’m not sold on it. However, it has happened in the past, and the Democrats have not provided anything positive - so if the surge is there - here is what you will see.

    Senate: 51 (R), 49 (D)

    House: 216 (R), 219 (D)

    Call it a ripple. I may be giving the Rep. too much credit in the House on both accounts - but there it is.

    Posted 06 Nov 2006 at 6:14 pm

  2. Bill from INDC wrote:

    Reese and Ryan will reconcile.

    Posted 06 Nov 2006 at 6:23 pm

  3. The Sanity Inspector wrote:

    Kinda strange: Fox News’ own polling shows the Dems solidly ahead. The New Republic’s blog is aghast because the Dems are sliding.

    I’m just glad I’ll be taking my kid to soccer practice tomorrow evening, and won’t see any TV coverage until the actual returns start coming in. I wince to think of all the exit poll pr0n that’s gonna be unleashed tomorrow.

    Posted 06 Nov 2006 at 6:38 pm

  4. Grim wrote:

    I’ll go with Electionprojection.com’s predictions, which have been pretty solid in the past. GOP Senate, narrow Dem majority in the House. F.B. at Southern Appeal thinks that there may be some Dem->Rep. defections in the House if the Democrats actually win, but I don’t know what he’s basing that on.

    Posted 06 Nov 2006 at 9:43 pm

  5. Grim wrote:

    Looks like EP.com has revised to a 49-49 Senate, which would mean weak Dem control, based on Lieberman’s willingness to caucus with them. Won’t that be fun? :)

    Posted 06 Nov 2006 at 9:51 pm

  6. BloodSpite wrote:

    I tend to side with Salamander here.

    I don’t think the Democrats have in actuality a firm hope of winning Missouri

    Let me correct myself slightly, in my District I can’t see McCaskill beating out Jim Talent, and I can’t see Roy Blunt losing period.

    Posted 07 Nov 2006 at 1:09 pm

  7. rbj wrote:

    Prediction:
    There will be much wailing and gnashing of teeth and rending of clothing. Each side will cry “foul” and “cheater”.

    Posted 07 Nov 2006 at 2:54 pm

  8. BloodSpite wrote:

    Well I was partly right
    Roy Blunt won with a huge majority (over 60%)
    But McCaskill squeezed a win with barely more than a 2% lead.

    Should ironic here in Missouri. A Democratic Senator and a Republican state (Dems only gained like 2 district’s here.)

    Gridlock anyone?

    Posted 08 Nov 2006 at 10:41 am

« Don Surber: RINO Sightings
Tight House Races with early poll closings »